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Jerry Jeudy
NFL · Player Props
Jerry Jeudy
WR · Denver Broncos
Receptions
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Jerry Jeudy Receptions

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accumulate 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 21.3% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Favors Under
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Jerry Jeudy's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 66.0%.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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