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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jerry Jeudy has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 86.8% of snaps vs just 66.2% last season.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 50.4% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last season's 64.6% rate.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season marks a substantial regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.0 figure.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 2.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.7% figure.

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