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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.9 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a measly 4.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.72 mark last year.
  • This year, the strong Miami Dolphins defense has given up a measly 136.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

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