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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 79.0% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 148.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).

Jerry Jeudy has run fewer routes this season (92.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (81.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Browns ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Jerry Jeudy's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling just 4.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.72 rate last season.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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