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Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.1% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.Jerry Jeudy's 59.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a material regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 64.6% figure.Jerry Jeudy's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging just 3.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.72 mark last season.This year, the daunting Broncos pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 3.3 YAC.When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Denver's CB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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