Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 84th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 57.2 figure this year.
Jerry Jeudy's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 67.4% to 70.6%.
This year, the porous Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed a staggering 174.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-worst in football.
This year, the deficient Vikings pass defense has given up a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
Jerry Jeudy has put up far fewer air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).

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