Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 3:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
Jerry Jeudy has run fewer routes this year (88.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.4%).
THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to accrue 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 52.1%.
Jerry Jeudy's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 7.42 yards-per-target vs a 8.66 mark last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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