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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been less involved as a potential target this year (88.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.4%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to total 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 47.7%.
  • Jerry Jeudy's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, notching just 7.51 yards-per-target compared to a 8.66 figure last season.

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