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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to total 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 18.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been responsible for a whopping 24.1% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among WRs.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 47.0 yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 47.4%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.

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