Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to total 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
Jerry Jeudy has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 18.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy has been responsible for a whopping 24.1% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among WRs.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 47.0 yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 47.4%.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.