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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to earn 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 20.2% this year, which places him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jerry Jeudy has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jerry Jeudy's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 65.3%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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