Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 12:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-355).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
Jerry Jeudy has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy has accrued significantly more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
Jerry Jeudy's 53.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 83rd percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 52.1%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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