Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+179/-265).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +232 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +179.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jerry Jeudy has posted many more air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jerry Jeudy grades out in the 91st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 51.3%.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (62.6%).

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