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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+179/-265).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +232 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +179.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jerry Jeudy has posted many more air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Jerry Jeudy grades out in the 91st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Jerry Jeudy's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.0% to 51.3%.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (62.6%).

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