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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Jerry Jeudy Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Jerry Jeudy to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the goal line this week (17.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.6% in games he has played).

Jerry Jeudy has garnered a whopping 25.2% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wideouts.

Jerry Jeudy's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 84th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.

Jerry Jeudy grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 2nd-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.59 per game since the start of last season.

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