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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-960).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -950 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -960.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are an enormous 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect Jerome Ford to be much less involved in his offense's run game near the goal line in this game (8.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in the lowly 25th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -1.0 per game.

Jerome Ford grades out in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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