Jerome Ford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 5, 2024

Updated Oct 6, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
Jerome Ford's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a material growth in his rushing ability over last season's 3.6 figure.
The Washington Commanders defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.21 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.2% run rate.
Jerome Ford has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 69.9% of snaps vs just 52.0% last season.
The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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