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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 148.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 21.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Jerome Ford has been a much smaller part of his offense's running game this season (30.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.1%).

Jerome Ford's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a significant decrease in his running ability over last year's 43.0 mark.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 88.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.

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