Jerome Ford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to run on 47.2% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Jerome Ford is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 carries.

Favors Under

This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts run defense has yielded a monstrous 3.85 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 23rd-highest rate in the NFL.

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