Jerome Ford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The projections expect Jerome Ford to total 13.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
While Jerome Ford has received 34.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Cleveland's rushing attack in this week's contest at 45.5%.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 93 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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