Jerome Ford Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to earn 13.0 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
After comprising 1.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Jerome Ford has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently making up 38.6%.

Favors Under

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
The opposing side have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.

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