My Account Log Out

reorder

Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 79.0% of their opportunities: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 148.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).

With an impressive 51.0% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

As it relates to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Browns ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 80.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

More Jerome Ford Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™