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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

The model projects Jerome Ford to notch 3.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Jerome Ford slots into the 84th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a superb 16.8 figure since the start of last season.

With an exceptional 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Jerome Ford stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Jerome Ford's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling just 3.53 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.10 rate last year.

Jerome Ford ranks as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 6.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 14th percentile.

The Giants defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.

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