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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.9 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year.

Jerome Ford grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging a lowly 5.13 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.

This year, the formidable Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered a feeble 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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