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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 64.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.

The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).

With a sizeable 51.5% Route Participation Rate (88th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

When talking about air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in just the 23rd percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Jerome Ford comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging just 4.46 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.

The Steelers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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