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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.1% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about air yards, Jerome Ford ranks in the paltry 14th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Jerome Ford's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a noteable decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 18.0 rate.

Jerome Ford's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, averaging just 3.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.10 mark last year.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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