Jerome Ford Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 65.7 per game on average).
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (75.6%) vs. RBs this year (75.6%).
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 4.89 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.

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