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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback PJ Walker.

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 66.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Jerome Ford to total 3.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.

With a weak 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (23rd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford has been as one of the top pass-game running backs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

This year, the tough 49ers defense has surrendered the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a puny 4.6 yards.

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