Jerome Ford Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Jerome Ford has run a route on 44.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
The predictive model expects Jerome Ford to total 3.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jerome Ford ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs this year with a colossal 3.2% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jerome Ford has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a mere 71.4% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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