Jerome Ford Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
In this contest, Jerome Ford is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 80th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.
When talking about air yards, Jerome Ford ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs this year, accruing an impressive 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
Jerome Ford slots into the 84th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a massive 17.1 figure this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Jerome Ford checks in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs, completing a mere 71.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.
Jerome Ford has been one of the weakest running backs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 5.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.
This year, the imposing Steelers defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL.
The Steelers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.