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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Jerome Ford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.9 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

In this game, Jerome Ford is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 84th percentile among running backs with 16.1 rush attempts.

The projections expect Jerome Ford to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this game (57.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cleveland Browns may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.8% run rate.

The Miami defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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