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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Browns this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to be a more important option in his team's ground game in this game (52.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
  • This week's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are massive -10-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Browns to be the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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