Jerome Ford Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Browns, who are overwhelmingly favored by 13.5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 66.1 plays per game.
Jerome Ford has been a more important option in his team's running game this season (35.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (1.9%).
When it comes to opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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