Jerome Ford Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jerome Ford to garner 15.3 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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