Jerome Ford Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
After taking on 1.9% of his offense's run game usage last year, Jerome Ford has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, now taking on 36.8%.
In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's group of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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