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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

The the Chiefs O-line grades out as the best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

This year, the anemic Broncos run defense has conceded a massive 195.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the worst in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 32nd-worst safety corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 30.7% run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After comprising 18.7% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jerick McKinnon has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for just 4.4%.

Jerick McKinnon's 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a a noteworthy reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 18.0 figure.

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