Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.
The the Chiefs O-line grades out as the best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
This year, the anemic Broncos run defense has conceded a massive 195.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the worst in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 32nd-worst safety corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 30.7% run rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
After comprising 18.7% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jerick McKinnon has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for just 4.4%.
Jerick McKinnon's 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a a noteworthy reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 18.0 figure.

More Jerick McKinnon Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow