Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jerick McKinnon has been much less involved in his team's run game this year (4.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.7%).
Jerick McKinnon has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (3.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
This year, the weak Minnesota Vikings run defense has conceded a whopping 3.66 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-highest rate in the league.

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