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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Jerick McKinnon has been much less involved in his team's run game this year (4.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.7%).

Jerick McKinnon has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (3.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).

This year, the weak Minnesota Vikings run defense has conceded a whopping 3.66 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-highest rate in the league.

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