Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jerick McKinnon has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (19.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (4.5%).
Jerick McKinnon has run for significantly more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.82 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 33.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The Kansas City Chiefs have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

More Jerick McKinnon Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow