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Jerick McKinnon
NFL · Player Props
Jerick McKinnon
RB · Kansas City Chiefs
Rushing Yards
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:31 AM UTC
NFL Props Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards

Jerick McKinnon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jerick McKinnon has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (19.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (4.5%).
  • Jerick McKinnon has run for significantly more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.82 yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 33.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
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