Jerick McKinnon Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jerick McKinnon has been used more as a potential target this year (46.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (22.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Jerick McKinnon to accrue 3.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Jerick McKinnon's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 2.6 yards per game compared to just 1.3 last season.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Jerick McKinnon's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.8% to 78.9%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (77.9%) to RBs this year (77.9%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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