Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jerick McKinnon has been among the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 29.0 yards per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.
Jerick McKinnon has been among the leading running backs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 9.58 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 12.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
Jerick McKinnon's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a mere 6.51 yards-per-target vs a 7.57 mark last season.

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