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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jerick McKinnon has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (46.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jerick McKinnon has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
  • Jerick McKinnon's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.0% to 76.8%.
  • Jerick McKinnon's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling just 6.49 yards-per-target compared to a 9.20 mark last year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (72.7%) versus RBs this year (72.7%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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