Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jerick McKinnon has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (46.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.0%).

Favors Under

Jerick McKinnon has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
Jerick McKinnon's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.0% to 76.8%.
Jerick McKinnon's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, totaling just 6.49 yards-per-target compared to a 9.20 mark last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (72.7%) versus RBs this year (72.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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