Jeremy Ruckert Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jeremy Ruckert

NFL · Player Props

Jeremy Ruckert

TE · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Jets vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Jeremy Ruckert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.
The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.
At a mere 27.04 seconds per snap, the Jets offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year.
Jeremy Ruckert has been less involved as a potential target this year (21.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (8.1%).

Favors Under

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Jeremy Ruckert ranks as one of the bottom TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 1.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 25th percentile among tight ends.

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