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Jeremy Ruckert

Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jeremy Ruckert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.
  • The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's 8.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 16.0 mark.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 75.5% to 68.0%.
  • Jeremy Ruckert's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, compiling a mere 3.68 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.50 rate last year.

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