Jelani Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Jelani Woods

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 6, 2022 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

Jelani Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jelani Woods has played on 17.0% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among tight ends.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.