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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

Jeff Wilson's ground efficiency (4.86 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (86th percentile when it comes to running backs).

This year, the daunting Buffalo Bills run defense has surrendered a measly 4.67 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 26th-lowest rate in the league.

The Buffalo defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins as the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.

After comprising 46.3% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Jeff Wilson has been less involved in the running game this year, now comprising only 12.6%.

Jeff Wilson's 19.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates an impressive decrease in his running talent over last year's 55.0 figure.

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