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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Jeff Wilson has received 13.1% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Miami's ground game in this week's game at 0.0%.
  • In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the ramifications it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-best in football last year.
  • With a remarkable rate of 4.46 adjusted yards per carry (80th percentile), Jeff Wilson has been as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 100.0% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 63.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins this year (just 55.7 per game on average).
  • Jeff Wilson's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a noteable diminishment in his running talent over last season's 55.0 figure.

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