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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Jeffery Wilson has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this season (46.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.9%).

Jeffery Wilson has run for a lot more yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Jeffery Wilson's ground effectiveness has improved this year, notching 5.34 yards-per-carry vs just 3.77 figure last year.

The Cleveland Browns defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.06 yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 6th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Miami Dolphins have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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