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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

In this game, Jeff Wilson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets.

When talking about air yards, Jeff Wilson grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating an astounding 5.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

Jeff Wilson's 11.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last year's 6.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Jeff Wilson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (21.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (45.6%).

The Miami offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Jeff Wilson's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a measly 6.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 9.08 mark last year.

More Jeff Wilson Player Props

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