Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Jeffery Wilson has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (43.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (25.4%).

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
Jeffery Wilson has been among the bottom RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 5.0 yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among RBs.
Jeffery Wilson has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a mere 47.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (76.5%) versus RBs this year (76.5%).
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

More Jeff Wilson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow