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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be starting backup QB Teddy Bridgewater in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Jeffery Wilson has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (43.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (25.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins have called the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

Jeffery Wilson has been among the bottom RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 5.0 yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among RBs.

Jeffery Wilson has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching a mere 47.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 4th percentile.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (76.5%) versus RBs this year (76.5%).

The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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