Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jeffery Wilson has run more routes this year (42.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (27.6%).
THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to accrue 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Jeffery Wilson has accrued a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Jeffery Wilson has been among the leading RBs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 12.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 98th percentile.
The Houston Texans safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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