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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Jeff Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 36.3% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

The model projects Jeff Wilson to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game in this game (22.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (43.5% in games he has played).

More Jeff Wilson Player Props

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