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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jeff Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-122/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 43.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to earn 14.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Jeffery Wilson has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (51.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.9%).
  • The Atlanta Falcons linebackers rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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